1) Adrian Peterson- Regardless of he who’s name will not be spoken’s upteenth retirement or not, All Day should be #1 overall pick. He’s a workhorse w/ the ability to bring it to the house every time he has the ball. While there are durability and turnover questions, he’s been the most consistent of the top RB’s throughout the last few years so he gets top dog status.
2) Ray Rice- He was my MVP last year and that was w/ McGahee vulturing TD’s left and right. The offense is improved w/ Flacco’s development and Boldin’s arrival so I think he’ll get more shots to get the endzone. I also refuse to believe that McGahee can steal so many TD’s this year which leads me to think that he should get the #2 spot. I’m also asian and my peeps have been down for rice for a long long time so there’s a heavy bias here.
3) CJ2K- At least I think that’s his nickname after last years 2000 yards rushing performance. I’m probably the only fool to have him ranked this low especially w/ his ability to catch the ball. I have a healthy gut though and it tells me that he won’t have as awesome a season as last year. No logic, just my beer belly.
4) Mojo- He’s a scoring machine and “if” the Jags offense can be more efficient, he should have more TD’s. If not, he’ll still get a lot of yards for you w/ some TD’s sprinkled in.
5) Gore- I’m biased once again given my SF roots. But I truly believe in Gore once again. He’ll miss a few games due to his running style but when it’s all said and done, I believe that the 49ers offense can’t be anymore inept than last year. This means more TD’s for Gore, Gore, Gore !!!
6) multiple tie
Turner- There’s a 370 theory that ESPN’s Tristan Cockcroft wrote about. Here’s the link: http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=nfldk2k10curseof370
Basically it says that outside of a younger LDT, Dickerson, and Emmitt Smith; no runner has been able to have a top season after 370 carries in a season. Now Turner is supposed to be lighter and healthier and the Falcons will still be a run based offense from all accounts. They also have a nice schedule. So a lot of people believe that he’ll bounce back. But I try to follow history and I’m afraid to go against it w/ a top 10 pick.
S Jax- He put up a 1700+ total yards for the season for 3rd best for RB’s. Unfortunately, the Rams offense was so anemic that it was somewhere between goth and ghost. His supporters say that he has to get more TD’s than last year. His detractors say that he’s a RB who just had surgery for a bulging disk and that there’s nothing to say that the offensive line has greatly improved. Add a rookie QB and it’s hard to get jazzed by the offense. Wouldn’t you just stack the line and run blitz and force Bradford to prove himself first? At least the Rams have a favorable schedule and it would have been more so if they could face themselves.
D-Will- Time share. Whatever. Missed 3 games. No biggie. Imploding QB. So what? None of this deterred him from quite a year. He’s also in a contract year. Bingo!!!
9) Mendenhall- He didn’t break his shoulder and had a great run at the end of the year. The belief is that the Steelers will feature him as long as Big Ben is suspended (4-6 games, likely 4). They lost their best run blocker though due to injury and while Flozell performed well in this department for the Cows last year, there was a good reason why no one picked him up until the last few weeks. He’s old and is a flag machine. If this was the equivalent to futbol, he’d be suspended every other game.
10) Greene- Everyone and their Mom has a crush on the Jets this year. I’m not as optimistic especially if Revis holds out into the season. But I do believe that the Greene Machine will put up big numbers as long as he’s healthy. He’ll be going behind one of the best rush offensive lines and they will be feeding him the ball. As long as he stays healthy, I think he’ll be a top guy at the end of the season. When I say healthy, I mean missing only 2 games or so versus gone or hobbled for a chunk of the season
1) Andre Johnson- He was a beast and that was w/o a consistent running attack. Schaub was able to stay on the field for the season though he was banged up for awhile. My only problem w/ him is that he’ll be going against Oakland’s Ashmougnaghshiniini (Go Cal!) and Revis island. This means at least 2 games w/ high dud potential. It’s a little annoying to think that your pick in round 1 will have a better than average chance for 2 dud games that’s not due to injury.
2) Randy Moss- The Pats seem to be older but it’s still hard to believe that Belicheat and Brady can’t figure out how to put points on the board. The Pats running game is inconsistent so the thought is that Moss will get the ball a bit and especially in the end zone. But Revis island lurks times 2.
3) Wayne- He has Peyton. The Colts can move the ball. Even w/ multiple targets for Manning, you have to think that Reggie will still get love in the end zone.
4) Fitzgerald- So it’s hard to figure out his value this year. He’s immensely talented and doesn’t have to share the ball w/ Boldin anymore. But he’s lost Warner and Leinart has been a disappointment. The Cards are supposed to be more run based this year as well. I have no clue.
5) Megatron- Luv Megatron. H8 his injury history. But I believe that the Lions will be better this year. It’s not saying much, but I believe that he’ll get more TD’s this year on top of his yardage.
6) Miles Austin- He’s going out w/ Kim Kardashian. History says that the Cows are destined for a championship. It doesn’t mean that he’ll have an awesome year though. I think that he’ll have a very good one though sprinkled w/ some lesser games due to Romo spreading the luv.
7) Jennings- I’m probably the only person who has him ranked this high. I just think that the Packers will have a good offense and that he can’t have as few TD’s this season as last.
8) Marshall- No one believes that he’ll have as many receptions b/c the Dolphins offense is supposed to be more run based for now as Henne develops. I think that he’ll have more TD’s though which means his fantasy value will be high. He has 2 games against Revis though which isn’t good. But 1 will be earlier in the season so if Revis holds out, he may miss the island. But the 2nd game will be in week 14. If you don’t know, you better ask somebody.
9) D-Jax- Once again, Go Cal! He’s a 50 yard TD waiting to happen. The question will be if Kolb can hit him w/ the deep ball. It’s a good question to ask. Until I can see it, I have to rank him lower b/c a lot of Desean’s points were due to the extra long TD.
10) Crabtree- Total homer pick here. I just want to look good if he ends up top 10 WR and you heard it here first. The logic is that defenses will key on Gore and Mt. Vernon. This means Crabtree will get single coverage and his work in the off season w/ Alex Smith equals well timed routes. It’s also illogical to believe in Alex Smith so this ranking goes under total homer pick.
1) Romo- I’m the only person w/ him ranked this high. I just think that he has too many weapons on offense. Even if new LT Doug Free is less than stellar, they can give him enough help by keeping the TE or RB to help w/ blocking and still have enough skill positions to beat the other team. I really loved Dez Bryant and was on record screaming for the 49ers to take him in the draft. Miles will be very good to great. Witten is a safety blanket. Barber will return to pre 2009 form. Felix is a home run threat. Roy may suck but even he had something like 7 TD’s last year. Prior to Dez’s injury, there was word that Crayton might get cut for financial reasons. Crayton may not be great but he’d be #2 Wr for a lot of teams out there. I also think that the Cows defense can force a lot of TO’s which means more opportunities for Romo.
2) Rodgers- He continues to improve on last year’s 2nd half run after he stopped holding the ball as long and taking too many sacks. He’ll put up numbers once again. And once again, Go Cal! The only caveat is that he plays in Green Bay so I worry about the potential of snowstorm games galore which limits scoring.
3) Brees- So when was the last time that the NFC representative in the Super Bowl had a great following season? I don’t know b/c I’m too lazy to look it up. I say that a lot of things fell for the Saints last year. Too many things I say. Perhaps it’s karma for all the plagues of the gulf coast. Maybe if the Saints get some bad luck, things will turn around for the region. I’m not hating, I just feel bad for the peeps.
4) Peyton- He should probably be ranked higher out of respect to his prowess. Super Bowl champ or not, who would you take as the 1st player on your team if could pick anyone out there in real life? Nuff said and by a mile.
5) Schaub- Everyone has some Schaub love this year. I say that aerial attack gets better w/ Jacoby Jones. He’ll have great games sprinkled in w/ duds but I say that he takes over the flanker spot and Kevin Walter takes over the middle as Owen Daniels takes a step back this year. This means Schaub will have a very good year.
6) Rivers- VJ may be gone for awhile but I believe that Norv Turner knows how to help his QB especially w/ enough time. Gates will be there and the combination of Floyd, Naanee, McMichael can make up for VY. Ryan Matthews will be a large upgrade over LDT which means the offense will be able to move the ball. The biggest factor will be the schedule. They play the Chefs and Raiders twice. They also face the Broncos, Seattle and St. Louis once in the fantasy season. This means 7 meaty games. Fatty like meat.
7) Brady- I don’t like the Pats schedule and there’s nothing that makes me think that the offensive line has improved or that the Pats have found a pass rush. I also don’t like their very tough division sans Buffalo. I’m also hating on him for being so underwhelming last year for me.
8) He who’s name will not be spoken- He’s like Jason from Friday the 13th, he’ll be back. It’s only a matter of time and he’ll be just as annoying as ever.
9) Flacco- Apparently, he was more injured than initially revealed in the late part of last year when his numbers fell. Now he has a great possession receiver in Boldin. Ray Rice is still there. He has another offseason of tutelage under Cam Cameron. Me likey.
10) Ryan- Matty Ice will have a very good season. He’ll be average for a lot of games but he’ll also have some very good to awesome games. The Falcons play: Cle, TB (2), Stl, Car, and Sea. I know that it’s foolish to project suckiness for teams in the preseason, but I’m pretty sure that more of them will suck than not.
1) Gates- No VJax means more targets for Gates. Once again, I really like the Chargers schedule.
2) Clark- As long as he’s healthy, he’ll get his share in the Colts attack.
3) Davis- I seriously doubt that he’ll get as many TD’s as last year but he has shown a rapport w/ Alex Smith. He’ll get a lot of targets down field.
4) Celek- West Coast offenses love the TE position. Kolb is supposed to be more accurate than McNabb which will suit Celek very well. They are also roommates.
5) Gonzo- I don’t think that he’ll get a lot of yards but I think that he’ll get a lot of end zone targets especially against the soft Falcons schedule.
6) Finley- The Packers offense marches along and all of Rodgers’ targets will reap the benefits. He’s probably the most athletically gifted of his targets as well.
7) Witten- He’s “downgraded” b/c of the high potential of ball distribution which means less overall targets for Witten.
8) Schinacoe- As soon as he who’s name will not be said returns, more TD’s for the tripod. If you don’t know, google and take off safe search. I didn’t look. I’ve just read things.
9 ) tie Cooley/Fred Davis- Much like the Autobots, Shanahan loves to roll out. The Redskins don’t have the most impressive receivers out there for the inconsistent McNabb. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a lot of 2 TE sets just to put the best players on the field which means that both these guys will get a lot of opportunities.
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