Unfounded predictions:
1) Warner will eventually go down and the hopes of the Cards will lie in Leinart's left arm. Sho should grab him.
2) A few years ago, I had the greatest late pick ever in FWP. Ben saw the Bus relegated to the bench. FWP, meet James Davis. Ben has Jamal Lewis. Kras, testify.
3) The preseason top RB's have a tendency to disappoint greatly. Either All Day, Mojo, Forte, or Turner will fail miserably. In fact, more than one of them could fail. From what I've seen, I see Mojo and then Turner to be the likeliest to disappoint greatly. Turner will get his but he won't be a top 5 RB.
4) I predict that Ray Rice, Sproles, Felix Jones, and Leon Washington will be the surprise middle round picks to join the top 13 RB's by the end of the season.
In addition, here's a youtube clip that I fully expect VDW and Kras to better. I'm off to eat expensive gellato. I'll be back in about 2 weeks. Ciao beeeeatches.
VDW and Shen have the most pressure on them to succeed with a 65% and 52% of making the playoffs w/ "average" inseason management.
Sho, T Squared and Big E have the most work to do or have the suckiest teams w/ only a 50%, 55% and 55% chance of making the playoffs w/ "great" inseason management.
Temple o' Poon
Overview:
This team is built around strong quarterback play. But it has some issues post-draft. Your only real core strength is at quarterback, yet that's often the easiest position to fill during the season. Your relative lack of strength at running back and receiver have the potential to make things challenging for you.
To turn this team into a top contender, you might need to be an active player on the waiver wire and in league trade talks. Last year running backs like Steve Slaton, Chris Johnson, Le'Ron McClain and Derrick Ward all could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Kevin Walter, Eddie Royal, Steve Breaston, DeSean Jackson, Ted Ginn and Mark Clayton were available after a lot of the drafts. You would benefit from landing some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Tom Brady, Leon Washington, Joe Flacco, Eddie Royal, and James Davis. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 45 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 25 percent chance of making the playoffs
Overview:
We think you're looking good at quarterback and running back. The receiver corps is a concern though.
The good news is that, of all of the weaknesses to have, this one is usually the most survivable. At receiver, it's often relatively easy to find fill-in guys on a weekly basis until a better player emerges during the season.
Last year wide receivers like Kevin Walter, Eddie Royal, Steve Breaston, DeSean Jackson, Ted Ginn and Mark Clayton largely went undrafted. But all these guys likely helped the fantasy teams that landed them in 2008. Stay atop the news and watch the target report to find the break out players weeks before the rest of the world wants them and you'll be in the mix.Players we particularly like on this team include Steven Jackson and Braylon Edwards. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 33 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Overview:
We'll start by complimenting you on your strength at quarterback and receiver. As you know, it's very difficult in a competitive league to assemble a team that is strong at QB, RB, and WR, so just about every team will have a weakness. As you probably suspect, we perceive yours to be at running back.
In 2009, that's not an instant fantasy team killer like it might have been five years ago. And in this particular case, we absolutely think you're strong enough elsewhere to overcome it. You've definitely got a good team here, but we'd feel better if we knew you were committed to keeping an eye out for the 2009 version of 2008's Steve Slaton, Le'Ron McClain, or Derrick Ward.
Players we particularly like on this team include David Garrard, Dwayne Bowe, Anthony Gonzalez, Jerious Norwood, Earnest Graham, and Chris Wells. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 85 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 65 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Overview:
Congratulations! You seem to have grabbed quality players at every turn of this draft. It's rare indeed to be better than the average team at the three core positions (quarterback, running back and receiver), but we think this team is.
You must be among the favorites in this league and have positioned yourself to grab one of the playoff spots. But before you start engraving the trophy, realize that the draft is not the end of the story. Things can and do go wrong, so you need to remain diligent throughout the year to ensure you remain strong until the playoffs.
Players we particularly like on this team include Steve Smith, Donnie Avery, Ben Roethlisberger, Earl Bennett, and Kevin Smith. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 46 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Overview:
This team is built around strong quarterback play. Despite not being strong at running back and receiver, we think this team should be among the top teams in the league.
Nevertheless, we feel compelled to mention that the RB and WR positions make us a bit nervious and are likely to require some attention throughout the year. We'd feel much better if we knew you were committed to scooping up 2009's breakout players at RB and WR. Getting one or more of these would take this team to the next level.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 45 percent chance of making the playoffs
Overview:
Old school!
We like your overall strength at the traditionally less important positions, but make no mistake about it: this team is about strength at the running back position. And we think it will be among the top teams in the league. Somewhere Marshall Faulk is smiling.
Nonetheless, we'd be remiss if we didn't at least mention the relative lack of strength at quarterback and receiver. These are usually survivable weaknesses, but we'd feel better if we knew you were committed to zealously scouring the waiver wire for this year's emergent players at QB and WR. Getting a breakout player at one or both of those positions would take your already-good team to the next level.
Players we particularly like on this team include Cedric Benson and Chris Henry. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 42 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Shen's Tahitian Village Boys
Overview:
In a competitive league, almost every team has a weakness. It's almost impossible to build a team that is strong at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and wide receiver). As you probably suspect, we perceive your weakness to be at the quarterback position. Of all the deficiencies to have though, this is usually the easiest one to mask.
Footballguys owner David Dodds even recommends you go into your draft with the goal of landing the top RBs and WRs while waiting to grab QBs late. Value-Based Drafting principles also suggest that teams constructed in this manner end up being strong. But for this team to reach it's full potential, you might need to have a quick trigger finger at the QB position and stay on the look out for good quarterback help. Last year guys like Matt Cassel, Tyler Thigpen, Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco likely went undrafted. Even Kurt Warner wasn't drafted in early leagues.
So although this team isn't perfect (few are), it should still be a strong contender.
Players we particularly like on this team include Chad Ochocinco, Josh Morgan, Ronnie Brown, and the Eagles defense. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 65 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 52 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Overview:
Your starting lineup is respectable, but the lack of depth is a serious problem. If you're lucky enough to avoid the injury bug, you might be OK. But that's a tough thing to have to count on.
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Steve Slaton, Chris Johnson, Le'Ron McClain and Derrick Ward all could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Kevin Walter, Eddie Royal, Steve Breaston, DeSean Jackson, Ted Ginn and Mark Clayton were available after a lot of the drafts. Quarterbacks like Matt Cassel, Tyler Thigpen, Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco also went undrafted in many leagues in 2008. You are likely going to need to land many of this year's top waiver plays to make any significant noise, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc. Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 35 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 16 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Overview:
We'll start by complimenting you on your strength at quarterback and receiver. As you know, it's very difficult in a competitive league to assemble a team that is strong at QB, RB, and WR, so just about every team will have a weakness. As you probably suspect, we perceive yours to be at running back.
In 2009, that's not an instant fantasy team killer like it might have been five years ago. And in this particular case, we absolutely think you're strong enough elsewhere to overcome it. You've definitely got a good team here, but we'd feel better if we knew you were committed to keeping an eye out for the 2009 version of 2008's Steve Slaton, Le'Ron McClain, or Derrick Ward.
Players we particularly like on this team include Santonio Holmes, Heath Miller, and the Chargers defense. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 36 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Sometimes the website will bring up a great week that your players had in the past. Note that the week that they mention is from 2005. Most of the other times it was in the last 2 years.
Overview:
We think you're looking good at quarterback and running back, and tight end is a plus for this team as well. The receiver corps is a concern though.
The good news is that, of all of the weaknesses to have, this one is usually the most survivable. At receiver, it's often relatively easy to find fill-in guys on a weekly basis until a better player emerges during the season.
Last year wide receivers like Kevin Walter, Eddie Royal, Steve Breaston, DeSean Jackson, Ted Ginn and Mark Clayton largely went undrafted. But all these guys likely helped the fantasy teams that landed them in 2008. Stay atop the news and watch the target report to find the break out players weeks before the rest of the world wants them and you'll be in the mix. Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 35 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 18 percent chance of making the playoffs.
In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 3 of 2005:
LaDainian Tomlinson vs. NYG: 220 combined yards, 4 TDHines Ward vs. NE: 110 receiving yards, 2 TD
Torry Holt vs. TEN: 163 receiving yards, 1 TD
Joey Galloway vs. GB: 53 receiving yards, 2 TD
Vishnal
Overview:
Your receivers are the strongest part of this team and you look good at tight end as well. While no team can be expected to be above average at all three core positions (QB/RB/WR), you are in the precarious position of being a bit weak at two of them.
Although you should not be counted out yet, you may need to be active on both the waiver wire and in trades to turn this team into a legitimate contender. The best way to achieve that might be to sacrifice some of your wide receiver strength to gain multiple players than can help your roster now. It's generally easier finding quarterbacks and wide receivers on the waiver wire than quality running backs.
For instance, last year, useful quarterbacks like Matt Cassel, Tyler Thigpen, Matt Ryan, and Joe Flacco likely went undrafted. Even Kurt Warner wasn't drafted in early leagues. Likewise, running backs like Steve Slaton, Chris Johnson, Le'Ron McClain, Derrick Ward all could be had dirt cheap at the draft or shortly after. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Randy Moss, Greg Olsen, Nate Burleson, Domenik Hixon, and Muhsin Muhammad. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 65 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 45 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 27 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Overview:
Let's start by remarking that we appreciate your old-school leanings: you have a team marked by strength at the running back position. Because the position is so sought after, a team constructed like this usually has a chance to make the playoffs. Your strength at tight end is also a plus, but with the quarterback and wide receiver both being less strong, you may need to do something to change the outlook of this team. Your deficiencies are likely to show themselves through the bye weeks, so try to manuever early in improving the quarterback and/or receiver positions before week four.
Last year, quarterbacks like Matt Cassel, Tyler Thigpen, Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco likely went undrafted. Even Kurt Warner wasn't drafted in early leagues. Similarly, wide receivers like Kevin Walter, Eddie Royal, Steve Breaston, DeSean Jackson, Ted Ginn and Mark Clayton were available after a lot of the drafts. Landing some of this year's top waiver players would be a huge help, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Matt Forte, Darren McFadden, and Nate Kaeding. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 40 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 19 percent chance of making the playoffs.
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